Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 28?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,334 वॉल्यूम
$118,334 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,334 वॉल्यूम
$118,334 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
15°C or below
$1,110 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$1,442 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$3,685 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$4,443 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$6,938 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$13,406 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C
$19,426 वॉल्यूम
No
22°C
$11,922 वॉल्यूम
No
23°C
$24,718 वॉल्यूम
Yes
24°C
$15,986 वॉल्यूम
No
25°C or higher
$15,259 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$118,334समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$118,334समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 23°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on April 28 at 100% implied probability, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) observations showing a midday peak of 23°C under partly sunny conditions, aligning closely with the daily normal maximum of 22.2°C. Increasing cloud cover ("sunny later cloudy" per JMA forecast) and the declining solar angle in the late diurnal cycle have prevented further warming, with current readings around 15–21°C and sunset approaching at approximately 18:30 JST. This positioning reflects real-time monitoring data from Tokyo's official station, where urban heat island effects remain subdued amid mild southerly flows. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing skies and residual solar heating to nudge above 24°C before resolution, though model ensembles and hourly trends indicate low likelihood as the day concludes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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