Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm-air advection. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where daily maxima typically range 17–20 °C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader sentiment favoring 19–20 °C at combined 71.5 % implied probability reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shave 1 °C from the peak. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around these narrow thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
18°C 15%
21°C 9%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
15%
19°C
34%
20°C
39%
21°C
9%
22°C
5%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
1%
20°C 39%
19°C 34%
18°C 15%
21°C 9%
नया
नया
15 सित, 2026
15°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
4%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
18°C
$40 वॉल्यूम
15%
19°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
34%
20°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
39%
21°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
9%
22°C
$20 वॉल्यूम
5%
23°C
$18 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm-air advection. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where daily maxima typically range 17–20 °C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader sentiment favoring 19–20 °C at combined 71.5 % implied probability reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shave 1 °C from the peak. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$276समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm-air advection. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where daily maxima typically range 17–20 °C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader sentiment favoring 19–20 °C at combined 71.5 % implied probability reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shave 1 °C from the peak. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around these narrow thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$276समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a highest temperature near 18–19 °C in Warsaw on September 15, driven by weak westerly flow under mostly cloudy skies with limited diurnal heating and no strong warm-air advection. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where daily maxima typically range 17–20 °C amid transitional autumn patterns. Trader sentiment favoring 19–20 °C at combined 71.5 % implied probability reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shave 1 °C from the peak. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around these narrow thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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