Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 51%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
14°C 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
20%
16°C
51%
17°C
27%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
14°C 4%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
11°C or below
$186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$115 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$127 वॉल्यूम
2%
14°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
4%
15°C
$365 वॉल्यूम
20%
16°C
$1,092 वॉल्यूम
51%
17°C
$198 वॉल्यूम
27%
18°C
$11 वॉल्यूम
1%
19°C
$142 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$196 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C or higher
$186 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,710समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,710समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a high of 13–15°C (roughly 55–59°F) for Wellington on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with strong northwesterly winds. These conditions stem from a persistent mild airflow off the Tasman Sea that has kept recent late-August maxima 2–4°C above the long-term average high of ~13°C. Strong insolation during the ~11-hour daylight period, combined with downslope warming over the North Island’s terrain, supports daytime peaks in the mid-teens Celsius. Trader consensus on 15–17°C outcomes (over 90% combined implied probability) reflects this pattern, while the low odds on 18°C+ or sub-14°C reflect limited upside from additional warming and the unlikelihood of a sharp southerly change before month-end. Final MetService guidance and any last-model runs on August 30 will be the key near-term drivers.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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