Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 जुलाई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
3 जुलाई को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 वॉल्यूम
$103,022 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 वॉल्यूम
$103,022 वॉल्यूम
3 जुल, 2026
7°C or below
$1,522 वॉल्यूम
No
8°C
$3,601 वॉल्यूम
No
9°C
$3,694 वॉल्यूम
No
10°C
$4,057 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$7,979 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$10,071 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$27,489 वॉल्यूम
Yes
14°C
$16,634 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$19,094 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$4,966 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C or higher
$3,915 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$103,022समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$103,022समाप्ति तिथि
3 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न