SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month, targeting a blockbuster $75 billion IPO raise at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation, has anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 33.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting secondary market enthusiasm post its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer. Starlink's subscriber surge and $22 billion in active contracts underpin revenue projections, yet the 75x estimated 2026 sales multiple fuels skepticism, dispersing odds across buckets amid macro volatility and execution risks like Starship milestones. Key differentiators include roadshow reception in June, regulatory hurdles for satellite expansion, and comparable mega-IPOs; public prospectus expected late May could sharpen pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$134,529 वॉल्यूम
$134,529 वॉल्यूम
<40 अरब
6%
40-50 अरब
7%
50-60B
12%
60-70 अरब
9%
70-80 अरब
34%
80-90B
16%
90-100B
2%
100-110B
20%
110-120 अरब
<1%
120B+
3%
$134,529 वॉल्यूम
$134,529 वॉल्यूम
<40 अरब
$9,566 वॉल्यूम
6%
40-50 अरब
$5,305 वॉल्यूम
7%
50-60B
$33,035 वॉल्यूम
12%
60-70 अरब
$14,044 वॉल्यूम
9%
70-80 अरब
$23,928 वॉल्यूम
34%
80-90B
$15,462 वॉल्यूम
16%
90-100B
$10,080 वॉल्यूम
2%
100-110B
$7,478 वॉल्यूम
20%
110-120 अरब
$8,136 वॉल्यूम
<1%
120B+
$7,496 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month, targeting a blockbuster $75 billion IPO raise at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation, has anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 33.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting secondary market enthusiasm post its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer. Starlink's subscriber surge and $22 billion in active contracts underpin revenue projections, yet the 75x estimated 2026 sales multiple fuels skepticism, dispersing odds across buckets amid macro volatility and execution risks like Starship milestones. Key differentiators include roadshow reception in June, regulatory hurdles for satellite expansion, and comparable mega-IPOs; public prospectus expected late May could sharpen pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$134,529बाज़ार खुला
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month, targeting a blockbuster $75 billion IPO raise at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation, has anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 33.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting secondary market enthusiasm post its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer. Starlink's subscriber surge and $22 billion in active contracts underpin revenue projections, yet the 75x estimated 2026 sales multiple fuels skepticism, dispersing odds across buckets amid macro volatility and execution risks like Starship milestones. Key differentiators include roadshow reception in June, regulatory hurdles for satellite expansion, and comparable mega-IPOs; public prospectus expected late May could sharpen pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$134,529बाज़ार खुला
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing earlier this month, targeting a blockbuster $75 billion IPO raise at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation, has anchored trader consensus around the 70-80B outcome at 33.5% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting secondary market enthusiasm post its $800 billion December 2025 tender offer. Starlink's subscriber surge and $22 billion in active contracts underpin revenue projections, yet the 75x estimated 2026 sales multiple fuels skepticism, dispersing odds across buckets amid macro volatility and execution risks like Starship milestones. Key differentiators include roadshow reception in June, regulatory hurdles for satellite expansion, and comparable mega-IPOs; public prospectus expected late May could sharpen pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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