Republican Ralph Alvarado, the recent GOP primary winner, holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in Kentucky’s 6th district, an open seat vacated by longtime incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district’s partisan lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—anchors trader pricing, even as recent internal polls show a narrow general-election contest and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced Alvarado’s position while highlighting Dembo’s path through turnout in Lexington and surrounding counties. No major late-breaking events have shifted the balance in the past month, leaving the implied probability stable ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKY -06 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
KY -06 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$33,631 वॉल्यूम
$33,631 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
27%
$33,631 वॉल्यूम
$33,631 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$14,395 वॉल्यूम
74%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$19,236 वॉल्यूम
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado, the recent GOP primary winner, holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in Kentucky’s 6th district, an open seat vacated by longtime incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district’s partisan lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—anchors trader pricing, even as recent internal polls show a narrow general-election contest and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced Alvarado’s position while highlighting Dembo’s path through turnout in Lexington and surrounding counties. No major late-breaking events have shifted the balance in the past month, leaving the implied probability stable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,631समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado, the recent GOP primary winner, holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in Kentucky’s 6th district, an open seat vacated by longtime incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district’s partisan lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—anchors trader pricing, even as recent internal polls show a narrow general-election contest and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced Alvarado’s position while highlighting Dembo’s path through turnout in Lexington and surrounding counties. No major late-breaking events have shifted the balance in the past month, leaving the implied probability stable ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,631समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ralph Alvarado, the recent GOP primary winner, holds a clear edge over Democrat Zach Dembo in Kentucky’s 6th district, an open seat vacated by longtime incumbent Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district’s partisan lean—Trump carried it by 15 points in 2024—anchors trader pricing, even as recent internal polls show a narrow general-election contest and forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Primary results and fundraising patterns have reinforced Alvarado’s position while highlighting Dembo’s path through turnout in Lexington and surrounding counties. No major late-breaking events have shifted the balance in the past month, leaving the implied probability stable ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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