Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 primary and potential December runoff, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his long tenure as House Majority Leader. The district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, delivered 66.8% support for the Republican nominee in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic opposition from special education teacher Lauren Jewett and a modest intra-party challenge from Navy veteran Randall Arrington have not altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor Republican expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाLA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
LA -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$37,648 वॉल्यूम
$37,648 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
91%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
9%
$37,648 वॉल्यूम
$37,648 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,151 वॉल्यूम
91%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$21,498 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 primary and potential December runoff, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his long tenure as House Majority Leader. The district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, delivered 66.8% support for the Republican nominee in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic opposition from special education teacher Lauren Jewett and a modest intra-party challenge from Navy veteran Randall Arrington have not altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor Republican expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$37,648समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 primary and potential December runoff, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his long tenure as House Majority Leader. The district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, delivered 66.8% support for the Republican nominee in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic opposition from special education teacher Lauren Jewett and a modest intra-party challenge from Navy veteran Randall Arrington have not altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor Republican expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$37,648समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Scalise holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 primary and potential December runoff, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and his long tenure as House Majority Leader. The district, anchored in New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, delivered 66.8% support for the Republican nominee in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings that classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic opposition from special education teacher Lauren Jewett and a modest intra-party challenge from Navy veteran Randall Arrington have not altered the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors and historical voting patterns continue to anchor Republican expectations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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