**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the South African Weather Service context and international models like those referenced in Yr.no and Met Office data, point to a daily minimum around 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 21, 2026.** This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 10°C (60.5%) and 9°C (34.0%), while outcomes below 8°C or above 11°C carry much lower implied odds. Cape Town’s winter climate features mild daytime highs (typically 18–21°C) moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies driving the minimum. On this date, light southerly to southwesterly winds (around 10–15 km/h), stable high pressure near 1020 hPa, and low humidity supported efficient heat loss after sunset, with early-morning readings dipping to approximately 9–11°C at stations like Cape Town International Airport. Recent observations from August 19–20 showed similar minima near 10–11°C amid dry conditions and no significant cold-air advection from the interior or Atlantic. Model consensus emphasizes limited variability due to the absence of strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress cooling, keeping the floor near 9–10°C rather than the lower historical winter extremes (e.g., occasional dips to 5–7°C). Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and short-range model runs showing this narrow range, with the slight edge to 10°C reflecting the most probable outcome under current atmospheric stability. Upcoming evening and overnight data releases from local monitoring will refine these market-implied odds before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
21 अगस्त को केप टाउन में सबसे कम तापमान?
10°C 98%
7°C 51%
8°C 46%
6°C 44%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
44%
7°C
51%
8°C
46%
9°C
17%
10°C
84%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 98%
7°C 51%
8°C 46%
6°C 44%
नया
नया
21 अग, 2026
5°C or below
$97 वॉल्यूम
<1%
6°C
$98 वॉल्यूम
44%
7°C
$92 वॉल्यूम
51%
8°C
$87 वॉल्यूम
46%
9°C
$106 वॉल्यूम
17%
10°C
$148 वॉल्यूम
84%
11°C
$266 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$152 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$131 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C or higher
$137 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the South African Weather Service context and international models like those referenced in Yr.no and Met Office data, point to a daily minimum around 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 21, 2026.** This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 10°C (60.5%) and 9°C (34.0%), while outcomes below 8°C or above 11°C carry much lower implied odds.
Cape Town’s winter climate features mild daytime highs (typically 18–21°C) moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies driving the minimum. On this date, light southerly to southwesterly winds (around 10–15 km/h), stable high pressure near 1020 hPa, and low humidity supported efficient heat loss after sunset, with early-morning readings dipping to approximately 9–11°C at stations like Cape Town International Airport. Recent observations from August 19–20 showed similar minima near 10–11°C amid dry conditions and no significant cold-air advection from the interior or Atlantic.
Model consensus emphasizes limited variability due to the absence of strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress cooling, keeping the floor near 9–10°C rather than the lower historical winter extremes (e.g., occasional dips to 5–7°C). Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and short-range model runs showing this narrow range, with the slight edge to 10°C reflecting the most probable outcome under current atmospheric stability. Upcoming evening and overnight data releases from local monitoring will refine these market-implied odds before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,451समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the South African Weather Service context and international models like those referenced in Yr.no and Met Office data, point to a daily minimum around 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 21, 2026.** This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 10°C (60.5%) and 9°C (34.0%), while outcomes below 8°C or above 11°C carry much lower implied odds.
Cape Town’s winter climate features mild daytime highs (typically 18–21°C) moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies driving the minimum. On this date, light southerly to southwesterly winds (around 10–15 km/h), stable high pressure near 1020 hPa, and low humidity supported efficient heat loss after sunset, with early-morning readings dipping to approximately 9–11°C at stations like Cape Town International Airport. Recent observations from August 19–20 showed similar minima near 10–11°C amid dry conditions and no significant cold-air advection from the interior or Atlantic.
Model consensus emphasizes limited variability due to the absence of strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress cooling, keeping the floor near 9–10°C rather than the lower historical winter extremes (e.g., occasional dips to 5–7°C). Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and short-range model runs showing this narrow range, with the slight edge to 10°C reflecting the most probable outcome under current atmospheric stability. Upcoming evening and overnight data releases from local monitoring will refine these market-implied odds before final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,451समाप्ति तिथि
21 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts from multiple sources, including the South African Weather Service context and international models like those referenced in Yr.no and Met Office data, point to a daily minimum around 10–11°C for Cape Town on August 21, 2026.** This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring 10°C (60.5%) and 9°C (34.0%), while outcomes below 8°C or above 11°C carry much lower implied odds. Cape Town’s winter climate features mild daytime highs (typically 18–21°C) moderated by the cold Benguela Current and prevailing southerly winds, with overnight radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies driving the minimum. On this date, light southerly to southwesterly winds (around 10–15 km/h), stable high pressure near 1020 hPa, and low humidity supported efficient heat loss after sunset, with early-morning readings dipping to approximately 9–11°C at stations like Cape Town International Airport. Recent observations from August 19–20 showed similar minima near 10–11°C amid dry conditions and no significant cold-air advection from the interior or Atlantic. Model consensus emphasizes limited variability due to the absence of strong frontal systems or cloud cover that could suppress cooling, keeping the floor near 9–10°C rather than the lower historical winter extremes (e.g., occasional dips to 5–7°C). Traders appear to weigh the latest observational trends and short-range model runs showing this narrow range, with the slight edge to 10°C reflecting the most probable outcome under current atmospheric stability. Upcoming evening and overnight data releases from local monitoring will refine these market-implied odds before final resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न