Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the low 20s°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions that limit strong radiative cooling. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 22–24°C, with recent clearing after mid-month rains supporting the current consensus. Traders appear to weigh model spread and local urban heat effects against official guidance, leaving room for minor revisions as new runs become available closer to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
31 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 70%
16°C or below 53%
25°C 50%
17°C 49%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
16°C or below
53%
17°C
49%
18°C
19%
19°C
70%
20°C
34%
21°C
31%
22°C
34%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
2%
19°C 70%
16°C or below 53%
25°C 50%
17°C 49%
नया
नया
31 अग, 2026
16°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
53%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
70%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
26°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the low 20s°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions that limit strong radiative cooling. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 22–24°C, with recent clearing after mid-month rains supporting the current consensus. Traders appear to weigh model spread and local urban heat effects against official guidance, leaving room for minor revisions as new runs become available closer to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the low 20s°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions that limit strong radiative cooling. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 22–24°C, with recent clearing after mid-month rains supporting the current consensus. Traders appear to weigh model spread and local urban heat effects against official guidance, leaving room for minor revisions as new runs become available closer to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
31 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 31 will likely fall in the low 20s°C, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions that limit strong radiative cooling. This positioning explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–22°C outcomes, as small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 22–24°C, with recent clearing after mid-month rains supporting the current consensus. Traders appear to weigh model spread and local urban heat effects against official guidance, leaving room for minor revisions as new runs become available closer to resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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