Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Chengdu near 24–25°C on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a strong subtropical high that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 32–35°C. Elevated humidity and light southerly winds reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the minimum well above 20°C yet below 30°C thresholds. Traders appear divided because small shifts in cloud cover, moisture influx ahead of a frontal system arriving September 7–8, or localized urban heat-island effects could alter the exact low by 1–2°C, creating near-even implied probabilities for the extremes despite the central forecast consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को चेंगदू में सबसे कम तापमान?
20°C या उससे कम 100%
21°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C या उससे कम
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
49%
20°C या उससे कम 100%
21°C 50%
26°C 50%
27°C 50%
20°C या उससे कम
100%
21°C
50%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
50%
29°C
2%
30°C या उससे अधिक
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows in Chengdu near 24–25°C on September 6, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a strong subtropical high that limits nocturnal radiative cooling while daytime heating reaches 32–35°C. Elevated humidity and light southerly winds reduce the diurnal temperature range, keeping the minimum well above 20°C yet below 30°C thresholds. Traders appear divided because small shifts in cloud cover, moisture influx ahead of a frontal system arriving September 7–8, or localized urban heat-island effects could alter the exact low by 1–2°C, creating near-even implied probabilities for the extremes despite the central forecast consensus. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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