**The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C low in Chongqing on August 21, 2026, reflects strong consensus across numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts.** Multiple sources, including local meteorological services, project an overnight minimum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and modest humidity levels that limit extreme radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where daytime highs near 34°C give way to gradual evening cooling without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread, supporting trader confidence in the 25°C outcome. The primary risk of deviation would come from unforecasted changes in cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized precipitation that alter boundary-layer mixing before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को चोंगकिंग में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 100.0%
21°C या उससे कम <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,160 वॉल्यूम
$4,160 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
हाँ
26°C
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
25°C 100.0%
21°C या उससे कम <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$4,160 वॉल्यूम
$4,160 वॉल्यूम
21°C या उससे कम
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
हाँ
26°C
नहीं
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C
नहीं
31°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
**The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 25°C low in Chongqing on August 21, 2026, reflects strong consensus across numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts.** Multiple sources, including local meteorological services, project an overnight minimum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and modest humidity levels that limit extreme radiative cooling. This aligns with typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin, where daytime highs near 34°C give way to gradual evening cooling without strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes. Recent model runs show consistent output with limited spread, supporting trader confidence in the 25°C outcome. The primary risk of deviation would come from unforecasted changes in cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized precipitation that alter boundary-layer mixing before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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