Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Madrid on September 15, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern that aligns with the long-term climatological average low of 15.5°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied 95% probability for 15°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing limited variability overnight. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal wind shift raising the minimum above 16°C, or enhanced cooling from drier air masses pushing it to 14°C or lower before dawn.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
15 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 99.5%
12°C या उससे कम 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C
नहीं
15°C
हाँ
16°C
नहीं
17°C
नहीं
18°C
नहीं
19°C
नहीं
20°C
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
नहीं
15°C 99.5%
12°C या उससे कम 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
$1,480 वॉल्यूम
15 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C
$134 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
15°C
$269 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
16°C
$269 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
17°C
$256 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
18°C
$231 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
19°C
$180 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
20°C
$80 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
21°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
22°C या अधिक
$32 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Madrid on September 15, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern that aligns with the long-term climatological average low of 15.5°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied 95% probability for 15°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing limited variability overnight. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal wind shift raising the minimum above 16°C, or enhanced cooling from drier air masses pushing it to 14°C or lower before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,480समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Madrid on September 15, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern that aligns with the long-term climatological average low of 15.5°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied 95% probability for 15°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing limited variability overnight. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal wind shift raising the minimum above 16°C, or enhanced cooling from drier air masses pushing it to 14°C or lower before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,480समाप्ति तिथि
15 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Current forecasts from numerical weather models and official guidance indicate a minimum temperature of 15°C for Madrid on September 15, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure pattern that aligns with the long-term climatological average low of 15.5°C. This consensus underpins the market-implied 95% probability for 15°C, as traders weigh real-time observational data and ensemble runs showing limited variability overnight. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover or a stronger nocturnal wind shift raising the minimum above 16°C, or enhanced cooling from drier air masses pushing it to 14°C or lower before dawn.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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