Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Madrid will remain under a heatwave pattern into September 6, with daytime maxima near 36–38 °C and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This supports nighttime minima around 21–25 °C, consistent with “tropical night” conditions observed the prior several days. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in how much additional radiational cooling or subtle advection may occur overnight, with short-range models showing modest spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 6 lows average near 17 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET bulletin and 00 UTC model suite for any signs of earlier cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
6 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे कम तापमान?
31°C या अधिक 100%
21°C या उससे कम 51%
25°C 45%
29°C 45%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
51%
22°C
28%
23°C
29%
24°C
44%
25°C
45%
26°C
2%
27°C
44%
28°C
44%
29°C
45%
30°C
44%
31°C या अधिक
100%
31°C या अधिक 100%
21°C या उससे कम 51%
25°C 45%
29°C 45%
नया
नया
6 सित, 2026
21°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
51%
22°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
23°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
31°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Madrid will remain under a heatwave pattern into September 6, with daytime maxima near 36–38 °C and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This supports nighttime minima around 21–25 °C, consistent with “tropical night” conditions observed the prior several days. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in how much additional radiational cooling or subtle advection may occur overnight, with short-range models showing modest spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 6 lows average near 17 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET bulletin and 00 UTC model suite for any signs of earlier cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Madrid will remain under a heatwave pattern into September 6, with daytime maxima near 36–38 °C and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This supports nighttime minima around 21–25 °C, consistent with “tropical night” conditions observed the prior several days. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in how much additional radiational cooling or subtle advection may occur overnight, with short-range models showing modest spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 6 lows average near 17 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET bulletin and 00 UTC model suite for any signs of earlier cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that could alter the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
6 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent AEMET guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Madrid will remain under a heatwave pattern into September 6, with daytime maxima near 36–38 °C and limited nocturnal cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow. This supports nighttime minima around 21–25 °C, consistent with “tropical night” conditions observed the prior several days. The near-even split in market-implied odds between sub-21 °C and 31 °C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in how much additional radiational cooling or subtle advection may occur overnight, with short-range models showing modest spread on boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical September 6 lows average near 17 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET bulletin and 00 UTC model suite for any signs of earlier cloud cover or a shift in steering flow that could alter the minimum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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