Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate nighttime lows near 26°C in Manila on September 18 amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure area and southwest monsoon flow. Typical September climatology shows minimum temperatures clustering around 25–27°C under high humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, aligning closely with the market-implied 26°C outcome at 99.6% probability. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent for the season. A sudden clearing of skies or an unexpected influx of cooler air from a passing system could realistically push the observed low below this threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 सितंबर को मनीला में सबसे कम तापमान?
26°C 99.6%
22°C 3%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
$11,124 वॉल्यूम
$11,124 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
हाँ
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
26°C 99.6%
22°C 3%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
$11,124 वॉल्यूम
$11,124 वॉल्यूम
20°C या उससे कम
नहीं
21°C
नहीं
22°C
नहीं
23°C
नहीं
24°C
नहीं
25°C
नहीं
26°C
हाँ
27°C
नहीं
28°C
नहीं
29°C
नहीं
30°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Official forecasts from PAGASA and supporting models indicate nighttime lows near 26°C in Manila on September 18 amid partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers and thunderstorms driven by a low-pressure area and southwest monsoon flow. Typical September climatology shows minimum temperatures clustering around 25–27°C under high humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, aligning closely with the market-implied 26°C outcome at 99.6% probability. Trader consensus reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent for the season. A sudden clearing of skies or an unexpected influx of cooler air from a passing system could realistically push the observed low below this threshold, though current atmospheric conditions make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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