Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows a minimum temperature on August 4 most likely near 70–72°F, driven by a passing frontal boundary, overnight cloud cover, and light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly. Historical August climatology (average low near 69°F) and urban heat-island effects at official stations further anchor trader focus on these bins, while the low odds below 64°F or above 77°F reflect current atmospheric stability and the narrow window for extreme deviations before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
4 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे कम तापमान?
62-63°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 20%
68-69°F 20%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
20%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
15%
78°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
66-67°F 20%
68-69°F 20%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
59°F or below
$44 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$44 वॉल्यूम
9%
62-63°F
$37 वॉल्यूम
30%
64-65°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
66-67°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
68-69°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
70-71°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
72-73°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
74-75°F
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
76-77°F
$25 वॉल्यूम
15%
78°F or higher
$44 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows a minimum temperature on August 4 most likely near 70–72°F, driven by a passing frontal boundary, overnight cloud cover, and light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly. Historical August climatology (average low near 69°F) and urban heat-island effects at official stations further anchor trader focus on these bins, while the low odds below 64°F or above 77°F reflect current atmospheric stability and the narrow window for extreme deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$193समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows a minimum temperature on August 4 most likely near 70–72°F, driven by a passing frontal boundary, overnight cloud cover, and light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly. Historical August climatology (average low near 69°F) and urban heat-island effects at official stations further anchor trader focus on these bins, while the low odds below 64°F or above 77°F reflect current atmospheric stability and the narrow window for extreme deviations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$193समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows a minimum temperature on August 4 most likely near 70–72°F, driven by a passing frontal boundary, overnight cloud cover, and light southerly flow limiting radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads and slight variations in timing of clearing introduce meaningful uncertainty across the 66–75°F range, where market-implied probabilities cluster tightly. Historical August climatology (average low near 69°F) and urban heat-island effects at official stations further anchor trader focus on these bins, while the low odds below 64°F or above 77°F reflect current atmospheric stability and the narrow window for extreme deviations before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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