Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a September 24 overnight low near 21–22°C in Qingdao amid southerly flow, rising humidity, and light rain or increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with typical mid-September coastal baselines and sustain elevated minima compared to clearer nights earlier in the week. Trader odds remain closely split between the 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher buckets because short-term model runs show modest spread in exact minimum timing and wind strength, with new observational data and evening forecast updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.