**Forecast models and observational data point to a minimum temperature near 25°C overnight into the morning of August 30, 2026, consistent with late-summer Mediterranean climatology for Tel Aviv.** Highs are expected around 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds, while the nocturnal minimum is projected for pre-dawn hours when radiative cooling peaks under stable high pressure. Multiple sources, including Met Office, WindBorne, and Israeli meteorological summaries, converge on 25–26°C as the likely low, reflecting typical seasonal baselines of ~24–27°C for the period and the moderating influence of sea breezes and high humidity (often 60–80% at night). The closely matched market probabilities around 20–25°C reflect residual model uncertainty in exact timing, urban heat-island effects versus airport stations, and minor variations in wind or cloud cover that could shave 1–2°C. Stronger onshore flow or increased low-level moisture would favor the upper end of that range, while clearer skies and lighter winds could allow brief dips toward 24°C. Higher thresholds above 26°C carry negligible implied odds, aligning with the absence of any significant cooling mechanism such as a passing trough or enhanced cloud cover on the current synoptic setup. Updated official guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service or real-time station data will be the decisive inputs as the minimum window approaches.