Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C amid model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent influence from a strong Pacific High sustains above-normal warmth and humidity near 75–80%, limiting radiative heat loss, while urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers further moderate overnight lows. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, but this season’s elevated baseline and forecast uncertainty around cloud thickness create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated JMA runs and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया21 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
25°C 50%
26°C 43%
27°C 14%
24°C 11%
21°C या उससे कम
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
11%
25°C
35%
26°C
43%
27°C
14%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
25°C 50%
26°C 43%
27°C 14%
24°C 11%
21°C या उससे कम
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
10%
24°C
11%
25°C
35%
26°C
43%
27°C
14%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 21 under mostly cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters on 25–26°C amid model spread in nocturnal cooling rates. Persistent influence from a strong Pacific High sustains above-normal warmth and humidity near 75–80%, limiting radiative heat loss, while urban heat island effects and potential scattered showers further moderate overnight lows. Historical August minima average 23–24°C, but this season’s elevated baseline and forecast uncertainty around cloud thickness create the tight spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes. Updated JMA runs and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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