**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts issued on August 29 position the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 at exactly 20°C.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a stationary front, light northerly winds shifting southerly, and periods of light rain or drizzle through the early morning hours limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum near this level rather than allowing a drop into the upper teens. Recent observations reinforce the consensus. The station low on August 29 reached 20°C amid similar overcast and showery conditions, and numerical guidance shows only minor spread around 20–21°C. Higher probabilities for 18°C or 19°C (combined ~16%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized urban heat effects, while outcomes above 21°C or below 18°C carry negligible weight given model agreement and the short forecast horizon. Updated JMA guidance and observational verification ahead of the overnight minimum remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
30 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
19°C 2.9%
18°C 1.6%
17°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
नया
$11,851 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,851 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
65%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
19°C 2.9%
18°C 1.6%
17°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
नया
$11,851 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,851 वॉल्यूम
30 अग, 2026
17°C or below
$666 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$923 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$619 वॉल्यूम
3%
20°C
$1,234 वॉल्यूम
65%
21°C
$1,929 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$3,607 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,629 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$392 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$351 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$247 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C or higher
$252 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts issued on August 29 position the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 at exactly 20°C.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a stationary front, light northerly winds shifting southerly, and periods of light rain or drizzle through the early morning hours limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum near this level rather than allowing a drop into the upper teens.
Recent observations reinforce the consensus. The station low on August 29 reached 20°C amid similar overcast and showery conditions, and numerical guidance shows only minor spread around 20–21°C. Higher probabilities for 18°C or 19°C (combined ~16%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized urban heat effects, while outcomes above 21°C or below 18°C carry negligible weight given model agreement and the short forecast horizon. Updated JMA guidance and observational verification ahead of the overnight minimum remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,851समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts issued on August 29 position the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 at exactly 20°C.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a stationary front, light northerly winds shifting southerly, and periods of light rain or drizzle through the early morning hours limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum near this level rather than allowing a drop into the upper teens.
Recent observations reinforce the consensus. The station low on August 29 reached 20°C amid similar overcast and showery conditions, and numerical guidance shows only minor spread around 20–21°C. Higher probabilities for 18°C or 19°C (combined ~16%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized urban heat effects, while outcomes above 21°C or below 18°C carry negligible weight given model agreement and the short forecast horizon. Updated JMA guidance and observational verification ahead of the overnight minimum remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,851समाप्ति तिथि
30 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts issued on August 29 position the overnight low for Tokyo on August 30 at exactly 20°C.** This aligns with the market’s dominant 86% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover from a stationary front, light northerly winds shifting southerly, and periods of light rain or drizzle through the early morning hours limit radiative cooling, keeping the minimum near this level rather than allowing a drop into the upper teens. Recent observations reinforce the consensus. The station low on August 29 reached 20°C amid similar overcast and showery conditions, and numerical guidance shows only minor spread around 20–21°C. Higher probabilities for 18°C or 19°C (combined ~16%) reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of clearing or localized urban heat effects, while outcomes above 21°C or below 18°C carry negligible weight given model agreement and the short forecast horizon. Updated JMA guidance and observational verification ahead of the overnight minimum remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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