**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models converge on a daily minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Tokyo on September 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (45.5% implied probability), 22°C (25.5%), and 20°C (21%).** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions: post-frontal northerly flow, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating carryover, and moderate humidity levels that support overnight radiative cooling without strong inversion. Recent heavy rainfall episodes earlier in September have left residual moisture and slightly cooler air masses, tempering typical late-September minima (historical average around 18–19°C). Model runs show low spread for the overnight low, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or wind shifts. Upcoming JMA updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational inputs before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
24 सितंबर को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
21°C 46%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
18°C 9%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
8%
20°C
21%
21°C
46%
22°C
27%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C या अधिक
1%
21°C 46%
22°C 27%
20°C 21%
18°C 9%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
16°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
19°C
$39 वॉल्यूम
8%
20°C
$232 वॉल्यूम
21%
21°C
$721 वॉल्यूम
46%
22°C
$836 वॉल्यूम
27%
23°C
$99 वॉल्यूम
5%
24°C
$51 वॉल्यूम
2%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C या अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models converge on a daily minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Tokyo on September 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (45.5% implied probability), 22°C (25.5%), and 20°C (21%).**
This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions: post-frontal northerly flow, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating carryover, and moderate humidity levels that support overnight radiative cooling without strong inversion. Recent heavy rainfall episodes earlier in September have left residual moisture and slightly cooler air masses, tempering typical late-September minima (historical average around 18–19°C).
Model runs show low spread for the overnight low, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or wind shifts. Upcoming JMA updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,978समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models converge on a daily minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Tokyo on September 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (45.5% implied probability), 22°C (25.5%), and 20°C (21%).**
This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions: post-frontal northerly flow, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating carryover, and moderate humidity levels that support overnight radiative cooling without strong inversion. Recent heavy rainfall episodes earlier in September have left residual moisture and slightly cooler air masses, tempering typical late-September minima (historical average around 18–19°C).
Model runs show low spread for the overnight low, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or wind shifts. Upcoming JMA updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,978समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) and international models converge on a daily minimum temperature of 20–22°C for Tokyo on September 24, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes of 21°C (45.5% implied probability), 22°C (25.5%), and 20°C (21%).** This positioning reflects current atmospheric conditions: post-frontal northerly flow, partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating carryover, and moderate humidity levels that support overnight radiative cooling without strong inversion. Recent heavy rainfall episodes earlier in September have left residual moisture and slightly cooler air masses, tempering typical late-September minima (historical average around 18–19°C). Model runs show low spread for the overnight low, with only modest variability from potential scattered showers or wind shifts. Upcoming JMA updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 12–24 hours will provide the final observational inputs before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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