Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's daily minimum temperature on September 23, 2026, will occur overnight under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and surface high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor radiative cooling with dew points around 8°C, positioning the low near 9°C and aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus and local observations show limited variability, with some guidance dipping to 7-8°C if clearing strengthens, while warmer 10°C outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger advection. Historical late-September minima average near 8-10°C, providing climatological context for the tight distribution around these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
9°C 100%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,074 वॉल्यूम
$1,074 वॉल्यूम
4°C या उससे कम
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C या अधिक
नहीं
9°C 100%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,074 वॉल्यूम
$1,074 वॉल्यूम
4°C या उससे कम
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
हाँ
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C या अधिक
नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Warsaw's daily minimum temperature on September 23, 2026, will occur overnight under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and surface high pressure near 1020 hPa. These conditions favor radiative cooling with dew points around 8°C, positioning the low near 9°C and aligning with the market's leading 50.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus and local observations show limited variability, with some guidance dipping to 7-8°C if clearing strengthens, while warmer 10°C outcomes remain unlikely absent stronger advection. Historical late-September minima average near 8-10°C, providing climatological context for the tight distribution around these thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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