Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a September 4 overnight minimum in Warsaw near 15–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Persistent stratiform clouds and moderate winds of 4–6 m/s limit surface heat loss while advecting milder maritime air, keeping temperatures above the seasonal climatological low of roughly 10°C. Recent model runs show small spreads tied to the timing and intensity of light rain, which could either enhance or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
4 सितंबर को वारसॉ में सबसे कम तापमान?
13°C 74%
14°C 74%
17°C 74%
18°C 74%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
49%
13°C
74%
14°C
74%
15°C
49%
16°C
50%
17°C
74%
18°C
74%
19°C
74%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C या उससे अधिक
49%
13°C 74%
14°C 74%
17°C 74%
18°C 74%
नया
नया
4 सित, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
14°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
15°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
74%
20°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
21°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a September 4 overnight minimum in Warsaw near 15–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Persistent stratiform clouds and moderate winds of 4–6 m/s limit surface heat loss while advecting milder maritime air, keeping temperatures above the seasonal climatological low of roughly 10°C. Recent model runs show small spreads tied to the timing and intensity of light rain, which could either enhance or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a September 4 overnight minimum in Warsaw near 15–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Persistent stratiform clouds and moderate winds of 4–6 m/s limit surface heat loss while advecting milder maritime air, keeping temperatures above the seasonal climatological low of roughly 10°C. Recent model runs show small spreads tied to the timing and intensity of light rain, which could either enhance or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
4 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF point to a September 4 overnight minimum in Warsaw near 15–16°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values reflecting uncertainty in exact radiative cooling under widespread cloud cover and southwesterly flow. Persistent stratiform clouds and moderate winds of 4–6 m/s limit surface heat loss while advecting milder maritime air, keeping temperatures above the seasonal climatological low of roughly 10°C. Recent model runs show small spreads tied to the timing and intensity of light rain, which could either enhance or suppress the minimum by 1–2°C depending on boundary-layer mixing. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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