Jake Auchincloss, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 4th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a history of no Republican House victories in the state since 1994. With the September 1 Democratic primary featuring Auchincloss against challenger Jason Poulos and a limited Republican field led by presumptive nominee Tom Stalcup, fundraising and campaign infrastructure heavily favor the incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant personal scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline partisan composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाएमए -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
एमए -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$46,864 वॉल्यूम
$46,864 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$46,864 वॉल्यूम
$46,864 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$23,264 वॉल्यूम
97%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$23,600 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Auchincloss, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 4th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a history of no Republican House victories in the state since 1994. With the September 1 Democratic primary featuring Auchincloss against challenger Jason Poulos and a limited Republican field led by presumptive nominee Tom Stalcup, fundraising and campaign infrastructure heavily favor the incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant personal scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$46,864समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Auchincloss, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 4th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a history of no Republican House victories in the state since 1994. With the September 1 Democratic primary featuring Auchincloss against challenger Jason Poulos and a limited Republican field led by presumptive nominee Tom Stalcup, fundraising and campaign infrastructure heavily favor the incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant personal scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline partisan composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$46,864समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jake Auchincloss, the Democratic incumbent since 2021, holds a commanding position in Massachusetts’s 4th congressional district, rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and similar outlets. The district carries a D+11 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and a history of no Republican House victories in the state since 1994. With the September 1 Democratic primary featuring Auchincloss against challenger Jason Poulos and a limited Republican field led by presumptive nominee Tom Stalcup, fundraising and campaign infrastructure heavily favor the incumbent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a significant personal scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the district’s baseline partisan composition.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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