Incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines' last-minute withdrawal from the 2026 Montana Senate race in early March, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme—a former U.S. Attorney with backing from President Trump, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Sen. Tim Sheehy—has kept trader consensus firmly favoring a Republican victory at 81.5%. Montana's strong GOP lean, demonstrated by Tim Sheehy's 2024 Senate win over Jon Tester and Donald Trump's wide presidential margin, bolsters Alme's path despite primary challengers like Charles Walking Child. Democrats, led by former legislator Reilly Neill in a fragmented field, face uphill odds amid recent campaign finance reports signaling competitiveness but no polling shifts. Primaries on June 2 could consolidate the GOP nominee ahead of the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$63,711 वॉल्यूम
$63,711 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
82%
डेमोक्रेट
11%
$63,711 वॉल्यूम
$63,711 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$35,384 वॉल्यूम
82%
डेमोक्रेट
$28,326 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines' last-minute withdrawal from the 2026 Montana Senate race in early March, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme—a former U.S. Attorney with backing from President Trump, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Sen. Tim Sheehy—has kept trader consensus firmly favoring a Republican victory at 81.5%. Montana's strong GOP lean, demonstrated by Tim Sheehy's 2024 Senate win over Jon Tester and Donald Trump's wide presidential margin, bolsters Alme's path despite primary challengers like Charles Walking Child. Democrats, led by former legislator Reilly Neill in a fragmented field, face uphill odds amid recent campaign finance reports signaling competitiveness but no polling shifts. Primaries on June 2 could consolidate the GOP nominee ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$63,711समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines' last-minute withdrawal from the 2026 Montana Senate race in early March, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme—a former U.S. Attorney with backing from President Trump, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Sen. Tim Sheehy—has kept trader consensus firmly favoring a Republican victory at 81.5%. Montana's strong GOP lean, demonstrated by Tim Sheehy's 2024 Senate win over Jon Tester and Donald Trump's wide presidential margin, bolsters Alme's path despite primary challengers like Charles Walking Child. Democrats, led by former legislator Reilly Neill in a fragmented field, face uphill odds amid recent campaign finance reports signaling competitiveness but no polling shifts. Primaries on June 2 could consolidate the GOP nominee ahead of the November general.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$63,711समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Steve Daines' last-minute withdrawal from the 2026 Montana Senate race in early March, paving the way for his endorsed successor Kurt Alme—a former U.S. Attorney with backing from President Trump, Gov. Greg Gianforte, and Sen. Tim Sheehy—has kept trader consensus firmly favoring a Republican victory at 81.5%. Montana's strong GOP lean, demonstrated by Tim Sheehy's 2024 Senate win over Jon Tester and Donald Trump's wide presidential margin, bolsters Alme's path despite primary challengers like Charles Walking Child. Democrats, led by former legislator Reilly Neill in a fragmented field, face uphill odds amid recent campaign finance reports signaling competitiveness but no polling shifts. Primaries on June 2 could consolidate the GOP nominee ahead of the November general.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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