Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell's commanding 83.9% victory over challenger Sawyer Walters in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat encompassing South Mississippi's Gulf Coast with strong historical GOP margins. Jeffrey Hulum III secured the Democratic nomination in a contested primary, but the district's conservative lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive polling underscore the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal involving Ezell, unexpected Democratic turnout surge in midterms, or national political realignments, though such upsets remain improbable in this battleground-light race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$19,268 वॉल्यूम
$19,268 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
7%
$19,268 वॉल्यूम
$19,268 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$6,328 वॉल्यूम
93%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$12,939 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell's commanding 83.9% victory over challenger Sawyer Walters in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat encompassing South Mississippi's Gulf Coast with strong historical GOP margins. Jeffrey Hulum III secured the Democratic nomination in a contested primary, but the district's conservative lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive polling underscore the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal involving Ezell, unexpected Democratic turnout surge in midterms, or national political realignments, though such upsets remain improbable in this battleground-light race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,268समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell's commanding 83.9% victory over challenger Sawyer Walters in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat encompassing South Mississippi's Gulf Coast with strong historical GOP margins. Jeffrey Hulum III secured the Democratic nomination in a contested primary, but the district's conservative lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive polling underscore the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal involving Ezell, unexpected Democratic turnout surge in midterms, or national political realignments, though such upsets remain improbable in this battleground-light race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$19,268समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell's commanding 83.9% victory over challenger Sawyer Walters in the March 10 Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 92.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat encompassing South Mississippi's Gulf Coast with strong historical GOP margins. Jeffrey Hulum III secured the Democratic nomination in a contested primary, but the district's conservative lean, incumbency advantage, and lack of competitive polling underscore the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift probabilities include a major scandal involving Ezell, unexpected Democratic turnout surge in midterms, or national political realignments, though such upsets remain improbable in this battleground-light race.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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