Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo) clustered closely behind the leaders. This bunching keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders, as voter preferences remain fluid with three months remaining. Primary drivers include party alliances tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, national polarization between left-leaning and center-right blocs, and limited name recognition for lower-polling candidates. Late shifts in turnout among swing voters or last-minute endorsements could separate the pack before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाडॉ. एलियाना फरेरा 45%
गेराल्डो रुफ़िनो 43%
विलियम टेइशेरा 43%
माइरा डी सूजा 43%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
डॉ. एलियाना फरेरा
45%
गेराल्डो रुफ़िनो
43%
विलियम टेइशेरा
43%
माइरा डी सूजा
43%
सोनिन्हा फ्रांसिन
43%
वेलर गोंकाल्विस
42%
एडनेल्सन सेसरेटी
42%
आंद्रे दो प्राडो
41%
मारिना सिल्वा
40%
साल्स
39%
सिमोन टेबेट
38%
पेटर माह्स
26%
गिलहर्मे डेराइट
25%
मार्सियो एल्वेस
8%
डॉ. एलियाना फरेरा 45%
गेराल्डो रुफ़िनो 43%
विलियम टेइशेरा 43%
माइरा डी सूजा 43%
नया
नया
4 अक्टू, 2026
डॉ. एलियाना फरेरा
$0 वॉल्यूम
45%
गेराल्डो रुफ़िनो
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
विलियम टेइशेरा
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
माइरा डी सूजा
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
सोनिन्हा फ्रांसिन
$0 वॉल्यूम
43%
वेलर गोंकाल्विस
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
एडनेल्सन सेसरेटी
$0 वॉल्यूम
42%
आंद्रे दो प्राडो
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
मारिना सिल्वा
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
साल्स
$0 वॉल्यूम
39%
सिमोन टेबेट
$0 वॉल्यूम
38%
पेटर माह्स
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
गिलहर्मे डेराइट
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
मार्सियो एल्वेस
$20 वॉल्यूम
8%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo) clustered closely behind the leaders. This bunching keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders, as voter preferences remain fluid with three months remaining. Primary drivers include party alliances tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, national polarization between left-leaning and center-right blocs, and limited name recognition for lower-polling candidates. Late shifts in turnout among swing voters or last-minute endorsements could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo) clustered closely behind the leaders. This bunching keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders, as voter preferences remain fluid with three months remaining. Primary drivers include party alliances tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, national polarization between left-leaning and center-right blocs, and limited name recognition for lower-polling candidates. Late shifts in turnout among swing voters or last-minute endorsements could separate the pack before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows a fragmented field for São Paulo’s two Senate seats on October 4, 2026, with Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), André do Prado (PL), and Ricardo Salles (Novo) clustered closely behind the leaders. This bunching keeps implied probabilities for second place tightly contested among multiple contenders, as voter preferences remain fluid with three months remaining. Primary drivers include party alliances tied to Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, national polarization between left-leaning and center-right blocs, and limited name recognition for lower-polling candidates. Late shifts in turnout among swing voters or last-minute endorsements could separate the pack before election day.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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