South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region, anchored by consistent conservative voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the November general election. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain and a Libertarian candidate appear on the ballot, yet historical margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments continue to underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the seat's electoral history and low Democratic baseline support limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSC -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
SC -04 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$38,436 वॉल्यूम
$38,436 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,436 वॉल्यूम
$38,436 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$17,724 वॉल्यूम
92%
Democratic Party
$20,712 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region, anchored by consistent conservative voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the November general election. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain and a Libertarian candidate appear on the ballot, yet historical margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments continue to underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the seat's electoral history and low Democratic baseline support limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$38,436समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region, anchored by consistent conservative voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the November general election. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain and a Libertarian candidate appear on the ballot, yet historical margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments continue to underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the seat's electoral history and low Democratic baseline support limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$38,436समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in the Upstate region, anchored by consistent conservative voting patterns in Greenville and Spartanburg counties. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 66 percent of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition before advancing to the November general election. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain and a Libertarian candidate appear on the ballot, yet historical margins, the district's partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or major campaign developments continue to underpin trader consensus around a Republican outcome. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors such as the seat's electoral history and low Democratic baseline support limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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