Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no US bank failure by June 30, driven by the sector's demonstrated resilience after the isolated January 30 closure of small Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust—the sole 2026 failure to date, with minimal $19.7 million FDIC cost and full depositor protection. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup exceeded estimates, highlighting robust net interest income growth, stable credit quality, and capital markets strength amid benign loan loss provisions. February's Federal Reserve stress tests confirmed large banks' capital adequacy, maintaining buffers steady through 2027. With historically low failure rates (two in 2025) and no systemic pressures evident, traders anticipate continuity absent major economic shocks, ahead of the forthcoming FDIC Q1 banking profile.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$14,600 वॉल्यूम
$14,600 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$14,600 वॉल्यूम
$14,600 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no US bank failure by June 30, driven by the sector's demonstrated resilience after the isolated January 30 closure of small Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust—the sole 2026 failure to date, with minimal $19.7 million FDIC cost and full depositor protection. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup exceeded estimates, highlighting robust net interest income growth, stable credit quality, and capital markets strength amid benign loan loss provisions. February's Federal Reserve stress tests confirmed large banks' capital adequacy, maintaining buffers steady through 2027. With historically low failure rates (two in 2025) and no systemic pressures evident, traders anticipate continuity absent major economic shocks, ahead of the forthcoming FDIC Q1 banking profile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,600समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no US bank failure by June 30, driven by the sector's demonstrated resilience after the isolated January 30 closure of small Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust—the sole 2026 failure to date, with minimal $19.7 million FDIC cost and full depositor protection. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup exceeded estimates, highlighting robust net interest income growth, stable credit quality, and capital markets strength amid benign loan loss provisions. February's Federal Reserve stress tests confirmed large banks' capital adequacy, maintaining buffers steady through 2027. With historically low failure rates (two in 2025) and no systemic pressures evident, traders anticipate continuity absent major economic shocks, ahead of the forthcoming FDIC Q1 banking profile.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$14,600समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 76% implied probability of no US bank failure by June 30, driven by the sector's demonstrated resilience after the isolated January 30 closure of small Metropolitan Capital Bank & Trust—the sole 2026 failure to date, with minimal $19.7 million FDIC cost and full depositor protection. Recent Q1 2026 earnings from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup exceeded estimates, highlighting robust net interest income growth, stable credit quality, and capital markets strength amid benign loan loss provisions. February's Federal Reserve stress tests confirmed large banks' capital adequacy, maintaining buffers steady through 2027. With historically low failure rates (two in 2025) and no systemic pressures evident, traders anticipate continuity absent major economic shocks, ahead of the forthcoming FDIC Q1 banking profile.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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