Polymarket traders assign a 56.5% implied probability to SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting consensus around recent confidential S-1 filings targeting $1.75 trillion—later upped above $2 trillion amid hype for a potential June listing raising up to $75 billion. This positioning stems from the February 2026 xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, robust secondary share trading near $1.20 trillion (Forge Price $604/share as of April 15), and Starlink's accelerating revenue from satellite broadband expansion alongside Starship launch successes. Lower probabilities for higher brackets signal caution on execution risks, with an early June roadshow as the key near-term catalyst amid favorable space sector sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.75-2.00 ट्रिलियन 57%
2.00-2.25T 18%
1.50-1.75T 10.9%
2.25-2.50 ट्रिलियन 6.7%
$126,634 वॉल्यूम
$126,634 वॉल्यूम
<1.25 ट्रिलियन
4%
1.25-1.50T
17%
1.50-1.75T
6%
1.75-2.00 ट्रिलियन
57%
2.00-2.25T
13%
2.25-2.50 ट्रिलियन
7%
2.50T+
3%
1.75-2.00 ट्रिलियन 57%
2.00-2.25T 18%
1.50-1.75T 10.9%
2.25-2.50 ट्रिलियन 6.7%
$126,634 वॉल्यूम
$126,634 वॉल्यूम
<1.25 ट्रिलियन
$58,764 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.25-1.50T
$15,845 वॉल्यूम
17%
1.50-1.75T
$8,028 वॉल्यूम
6%
1.75-2.00 ट्रिलियन
$10,921 वॉल्यूम
57%
2.00-2.25T
$13,052 वॉल्यूम
13%
2.25-2.50 ट्रिलियन
$9,727 वॉल्यूम
7%
2.50T+
$10,296 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 56.5% implied probability to SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting consensus around recent confidential S-1 filings targeting $1.75 trillion—later upped above $2 trillion amid hype for a potential June listing raising up to $75 billion. This positioning stems from the February 2026 xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, robust secondary share trading near $1.20 trillion (Forge Price $604/share as of April 15), and Starlink's accelerating revenue from satellite broadband expansion alongside Starship launch successes. Lower probabilities for higher brackets signal caution on execution risks, with an early June roadshow as the key near-term catalyst amid favorable space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$126,634बाज़ार खुला
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 56.5% implied probability to SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting consensus around recent confidential S-1 filings targeting $1.75 trillion—later upped above $2 trillion amid hype for a potential June listing raising up to $75 billion. This positioning stems from the February 2026 xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, robust secondary share trading near $1.20 trillion (Forge Price $604/share as of April 15), and Starlink's accelerating revenue from satellite broadband expansion alongside Starship launch successes. Lower probabilities for higher brackets signal caution on execution risks, with an early June roadshow as the key near-term catalyst amid favorable space sector sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$126,634बाज़ार खुला
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 56.5% implied probability to SpaceX achieving a $1.75-2.00 trillion IPO valuation, reflecting consensus around recent confidential S-1 filings targeting $1.75 trillion—later upped above $2 trillion amid hype for a potential June listing raising up to $75 billion. This positioning stems from the February 2026 xAI merger valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion, robust secondary share trading near $1.20 trillion (Forge Price $604/share as of April 15), and Starlink's accelerating revenue from satellite broadband expansion alongside Starship launch successes. Lower probabilities for higher brackets signal caution on execution risks, with an early June roadshow as the key near-term catalyst amid favorable space sector sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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