SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 for a June 2026 IPO, targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting strong secondary market demand following December's $800 billion tender offer. Robust Starlink satellite constellation growth and reusable Falcon rocket cadence underpin this optimism, despite Starship Flight 12 delays pushing its upgraded V3 debut to early May. Traders price in competitive dominance in launch services and orbital refueling milestones, with 17.5% odds for 1.8T–2.0T hedging valuation pullbacks; roadshow details expected soon could sway sentiment ahead of listing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 13.9%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$747,884 वॉल्यूम
$747,884 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
2028 से पहले आईपीओ नहीं
3%
<1.0T
4%
1.0T–1.2T
3%
1.2T–1.4T
4%
1.4T–1.6T
8%
1.6T–1.8T
14%
1.8T–2.0T
18%
2.0T+
46%
2.0T+ 46%
1.8T–2.0T 18%
1.6T–1.8T 13.9%
1.4T–1.6T 7.8%
$747,884 वॉल्यूम
$747,884 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
2028 से पहले आईपीओ नहीं
$153,560 वॉल्यूम
3%
<1.0T
$51,780 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.0T–1.2T
$31,545 वॉल्यूम
3%
1.2T–1.4T
$53,571 वॉल्यूम
4%
1.4T–1.6T
$101,517 वॉल्यूम
8%
1.6T–1.8T
$102,660 वॉल्यूम
14%
1.8T–2.0T
$83,489 वॉल्यूम
18%
2.0T+
$169,762 वॉल्यूम
46%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 for a June 2026 IPO, targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting strong secondary market demand following December's $800 billion tender offer. Robust Starlink satellite constellation growth and reusable Falcon rocket cadence underpin this optimism, despite Starship Flight 12 delays pushing its upgraded V3 debut to early May. Traders price in competitive dominance in launch services and orbital refueling milestones, with 17.5% odds for 1.8T–2.0T hedging valuation pullbacks; roadshow details expected soon could sway sentiment ahead of listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$747,884समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 for a June 2026 IPO, targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting strong secondary market demand following December's $800 billion tender offer. Robust Starlink satellite constellation growth and reusable Falcon rocket cadence underpin this optimism, despite Starship Flight 12 delays pushing its upgraded V3 debut to early May. Traders price in competitive dominance in launch services and orbital refueling milestones, with 17.5% odds for 1.8T–2.0T hedging valuation pullbacks; roadshow details expected soon could sway sentiment ahead of listing.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$747,884समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing on April 1 for a June 2026 IPO, targeting a valuation exceeding $2 trillion and a potential $75 billion raise, has propelled trader consensus toward the 2.0T+ outcome at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting strong secondary market demand following December's $800 billion tender offer. Robust Starlink satellite constellation growth and reusable Falcon rocket cadence underpin this optimism, despite Starship Flight 12 delays pushing its upgraded V3 debut to early May. Traders price in competitive dominance in launch services and orbital refueling milestones, with 17.5% odds for 1.8T–2.0T hedging valuation pullbacks; roadshow details expected soon could sway sentiment ahead of listing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न