Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31, with 96.5% market-implied odds, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest tropical weather discussions showing no active disturbances or development potential through late April, under dominant high pressure yielding light winds but inhibiting organization. Climatologically, such early-season hurricanes—requiring sustained 74 mph winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale—are rare, with fewer than five recorded before June 1 since 1851, due to suboptimal sea surface temperatures below 26.5°C in key development regions, pervasive vertical wind shear, and intruding dry Saharan air. Colorado State University's April forecast anticipates below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña persistence. A shift could occur via rapid intensification of an unexpected tropical wave during a narrow low-shear window, monitored in NHC outlooks resuming routinely May 15.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या 31 मई तक तूफ़ान बन जाएगा?
क्या 31 मई तक तूफ़ान बन जाएगा?
हाँ
$41,745 वॉल्यूम
$41,745 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$41,745 वॉल्यूम
$41,745 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31, with 96.5% market-implied odds, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest tropical weather discussions showing no active disturbances or development potential through late April, under dominant high pressure yielding light winds but inhibiting organization. Climatologically, such early-season hurricanes—requiring sustained 74 mph winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale—are rare, with fewer than five recorded before June 1 since 1851, due to suboptimal sea surface temperatures below 26.5°C in key development regions, pervasive vertical wind shear, and intruding dry Saharan air. Colorado State University's April forecast anticipates below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña persistence. A shift could occur via rapid intensification of an unexpected tropical wave during a narrow low-shear window, monitored in NHC outlooks resuming routinely May 15.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,745समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31, with 96.5% market-implied odds, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest tropical weather discussions showing no active disturbances or development potential through late April, under dominant high pressure yielding light winds but inhibiting organization. Climatologically, such early-season hurricanes—requiring sustained 74 mph winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale—are rare, with fewer than five recorded before June 1 since 1851, due to suboptimal sea surface temperatures below 26.5°C in key development regions, pervasive vertical wind shear, and intruding dry Saharan air. Colorado State University's April forecast anticipates below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña persistence. A shift could occur via rapid intensification of an unexpected tropical wave during a narrow low-shear window, monitored in NHC outlooks resuming routinely May 15.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
वॉल्यूम
$41,745समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Atlantic hurricane forming by May 31, with 96.5% market-implied odds, driven by the National Hurricane Center's (NHC) latest tropical weather discussions showing no active disturbances or development potential through late April, under dominant high pressure yielding light winds but inhibiting organization. Climatologically, such early-season hurricanes—requiring sustained 74 mph winds on the Saffir-Simpson scale—are rare, with fewer than five recorded before June 1 since 1851, due to suboptimal sea surface temperatures below 26.5°C in key development regions, pervasive vertical wind shear, and intruding dry Saharan air. Colorado State University's April forecast anticipates below-normal 2026 activity amid weak La Niña persistence. A shift could occur via rapid intensification of an unexpected tropical wave during a narrow low-shear window, monitored in NHC outlooks resuming routinely May 15.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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