Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at around 20-21°C, driving the razor-thin trader consensus between those outcomes at 32% and 31.5% implied probabilities. This reflects short-range uncertainty amplified by variable cloud cover—partly sunny conditions could boost peak heating via solar insolation, while increased low-level moisture from East China Sea influences might cap it via sea breeze moderation. Recent days' mild spring warming, with highs near 19°C on April 15 per observational data, aligns with climatological mid-April averages of 19.5-20.5°C amid urban heat island effects. Key differentiator: afternoon convective potential, with CMA's evening update likely to refine odds before resolution via official station measurements at Xujiahui Observatory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया17 अप्रैल को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
17 अप्रैल को शंघाई में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 18%
22°C 14.4%
$38,690 वॉल्यूम
$38,690 वॉल्यूम
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
18%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C या उससे अधिक
3%
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 18%
22°C 14.4%
$38,690 वॉल्यूम
$38,690 वॉल्यूम
13°C या उससे कम
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
18%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C या उससे अधिक
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at around 20-21°C, driving the razor-thin trader consensus between those outcomes at 32% and 31.5% implied probabilities. This reflects short-range uncertainty amplified by variable cloud cover—partly sunny conditions could boost peak heating via solar insolation, while increased low-level moisture from East China Sea influences might cap it via sea breeze moderation. Recent days' mild spring warming, with highs near 19°C on April 15 per observational data, aligns with climatological mid-April averages of 19.5-20.5°C amid urban heat island effects. Key differentiator: afternoon convective potential, with CMA's evening update likely to refine odds before resolution via official station measurements at Xujiahui Observatory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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