Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at precisely 19°C, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability on that outcome amid persistent cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Morning observations show temperatures starting near 16°C under overcast skies, aligning with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C and historical data rarely exceeds 22°C this early in the month. Trader consensus reflects this robust model agreement, backed by real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine or a sudden warm air advection from the south, potentially nudging peaks to 20-21°C, though steering patterns and humidity suppress such upside; hourly station data from Pudong and Hongqiao airports will provide final confirmation by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
$193,519 वॉल्यूम
$193,519 वॉल्यूम
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.7%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
$193,519 वॉल्यूम
$193,519 वॉल्यूम
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 at precisely 19°C, driving the 98.5% market-implied probability on that outcome amid persistent cloud cover and moderate southerly winds limiting solar insolation and convective heating. Morning observations show temperatures starting near 16°C under overcast skies, aligning with April climatology where average highs hover around 19°C and historical data rarely exceeds 22°C this early in the month. Trader consensus reflects this robust model agreement, backed by real capital at stake. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged sunshine or a sudden warm air advection from the south, potentially nudging peaks to 20-21°C, though steering patterns and humidity suppress such upside; hourly station data from Pudong and Hongqiao airports will provide final confirmation by evening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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