Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
31°C 50%
33°C or higher 50%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
18%
31°C
50%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
50%
31°C 50%
33°C or higher 50%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
23°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
28°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
20%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
33°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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