MetService's latest forecasts for Wellington International Airport Station point to a high of 17-18°C on April 16, with overnight rain clearing to fine conditions under strong northwesterlies, positioning 18°C as the trader-favored outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing post-frontal warming and solar heating after dawn, tempered by gusty winds that historically cap autumn maxima around 17°C median for the site. Yesterday's update shifted odds upward from 17°C (now 27.5%) as clearing accelerated, though afternoon showers pose downside risk. Traders eye hourly observations and final 12Z model outputs today for potential refinements before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Wellington on April 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 16?
18°C 52%
17°C 28%
19°C 12.2%
20°C 1.3%
$113,816 वॉल्यूम
$113,816 वॉल्यूम
17°C
28%
18°C
52%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 52%
17°C 28%
19°C 12.2%
20°C 1.3%
$113,816 वॉल्यूम
$113,816 वॉल्यूम
17°C
28%
18°C
52%
19°C
12%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecasts for Wellington International Airport Station point to a high of 17-18°C on April 16, with overnight rain clearing to fine conditions under strong northwesterlies, positioning 18°C as the trader-favored outcome at 55.5% implied probability. This reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs showing post-frontal warming and solar heating after dawn, tempered by gusty winds that historically cap autumn maxima around 17°C median for the site. Yesterday's update shifted odds upward from 17°C (now 27.5%) as clearing accelerated, though afternoon showers pose downside risk. Traders eye hourly observations and final 12Z model outputs today for potential refinements before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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