USGS historical data indicates global seismicity typically produces 12-20 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week, positioning higher-count outcomes like >9 (36.5% implied probability) as trader favorites amid the market's skin-in-the-game consensus on regression to baseline rates. As of April 16, only one such event has occurred—a M5.5 (locally reported up to 5.7) 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14 UTC—marking a slower-than-average start with no notable foreshock sequences, swarms, or fault-specific upticks elsewhere per real-time monitoring. Seismic events follow Poisson-like distributions with inherent variability; upcoming USGS catalog updates through April 19 will track potential clusters along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया13 अप्रैल से 19 अप्रैल तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
13 अप्रैल से 19 अप्रैल तक कितने 5.5 या उससे अधिक भूकंप आए?
>9 37%
8 16%
9 15%
7 14%
$110,432 वॉल्यूम
$110,432 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
≤3
<1%
4
2%
5
7%
6
10%
7
14%
8
16%
9
15%
>9
37%
>9 37%
8 16%
9 15%
7 14%
$110,432 वॉल्यूम
$110,432 वॉल्यूम
19 अप्रैल, 2026
≤3
$72,320 वॉल्यूम
<1%
4
$7,252 वॉल्यूम
2%
5
$2,916 वॉल्यूम
7%
6
$1,311 वॉल्यूम
10%
7
$1,897 वॉल्यूम
14%
8
$2,654 वॉल्यूम
16%
9
$1,639 वॉल्यूम
15%
>9
$20,442 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS historical data indicates global seismicity typically produces 12-20 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week, positioning higher-count outcomes like >9 (36.5% implied probability) as trader favorites amid the market's skin-in-the-game consensus on regression to baseline rates. As of April 16, only one such event has occurred—a M5.5 (locally reported up to 5.7) 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14 UTC—marking a slower-than-average start with no notable foreshock sequences, swarms, or fault-specific upticks elsewhere per real-time monitoring. Seismic events follow Poisson-like distributions with inherent variability; upcoming USGS catalog updates through April 19 will track potential clusters along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$110,432समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS historical data indicates global seismicity typically produces 12-20 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week, positioning higher-count outcomes like >9 (36.5% implied probability) as trader favorites amid the market's skin-in-the-game consensus on regression to baseline rates. As of April 16, only one such event has occurred—a M5.5 (locally reported up to 5.7) 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14 UTC—marking a slower-than-average start with no notable foreshock sequences, swarms, or fault-specific upticks elsewhere per real-time monitoring. Seismic events follow Poisson-like distributions with inherent variability; upcoming USGS catalog updates through April 19 will track potential clusters along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
वॉल्यूम
$110,432समाप्ति तिथि
19 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS historical data indicates global seismicity typically produces 12-20 magnitude 5.5+ earthquakes per week, positioning higher-count outcomes like >9 (36.5% implied probability) as trader favorites amid the market's skin-in-the-game consensus on regression to baseline rates. As of April 16, only one such event has occurred—a M5.5 (locally reported up to 5.7) 20 km east-southeast of Silver Springs, Nevada, on April 14 UTC—marking a slower-than-average start with no notable foreshock sequences, swarms, or fault-specific upticks elsewhere per real-time monitoring. Seismic events follow Poisson-like distributions with inherent variability; upcoming USGS catalog updates through April 19 will track potential clusters along active plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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