Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Moscow's highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability and full trader consensus. Cool northerly air advection, evident in METAR reports showing morning readings near 7°C and broken cumulonimbus clouds at 1,900 feet (BKN019CB), capped daytime heating amid patchy rain and limited solar insolation. This outcome matches mid-April climatological normals of 9–11°C from 30-year Rosgidromet and NOAA datasets, with final ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on similar modest highs. Rare post hoc data revisions during NOAA quality control could challenge this, but verified hourly logs (peaking at 50°F or 10°C around 16:30 UTC) provide strong evidentiary support.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अप्रैल को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15 अप्रैल को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$123,561 वॉल्यूम
$123,561 वॉल्यूम
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$123,561 वॉल्यूम
$123,561 वॉल्यूम
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: हाँ
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
Official NOAA observations at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Moscow's highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability and full trader consensus. Cool northerly air advection, evident in METAR reports showing morning readings near 7°C and broken cumulonimbus clouds at 1,900 feet (BKN019CB), capped daytime heating amid patchy rain and limited solar insolation. This outcome matches mid-April climatological normals of 9–11°C from 30-year Rosgidromet and NOAA datasets, with final ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on similar modest highs. Rare post hoc data revisions during NOAA quality control could challenge this, but verified hourly logs (peaking at 50°F or 10°C around 16:30 UTC) provide strong evidentiary support.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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