Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which cluster maximum temperatures at Istanbul Airport around 12-13°C for April 17, driven by persistent northerly airflow bringing cool air masses 4°C below April climatological norms of about 16°C. Partly cloudy conditions forecast by Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) introduce uncertainty, with fuller cloud cover potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar insolation, while intermittent breaks could allow boundary layer warming to 13-14°C. Northerly winds at 10-20 km/h further suppress temperatures via enhanced mixing and evaporation. Resolution hinges on NOAA-verified observations at the airport; short-range forecast confidence is high but with typical ±1°C spread explaining the razor-thin market divide.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 38%
12°C 35%
14°C 20%
11°C 5%
$11,846 वॉल्यूम
$11,846 वॉल्यूम
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
35%
13°C
38%
14°C
20%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 38%
12°C 35%
14°C 20%
11°C 5%
$11,846 वॉल्यूम
$11,846 वॉल्यूम
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
35%
13°C
38%
14°C
20%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, which cluster maximum temperatures at Istanbul Airport around 12-13°C for April 17, driven by persistent northerly airflow bringing cool air masses 4°C below April climatological norms of about 16°C. Partly cloudy conditions forecast by Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) introduce uncertainty, with fuller cloud cover potentially capping highs at 12°C by limiting solar insolation, while intermittent breaks could allow boundary layer warming to 13-14°C. Northerly winds at 10-20 km/h further suppress temperatures via enhanced mixing and evaporation. Resolution hinges on NOAA-verified observations at the airport; short-range forecast confidence is high but with typical ±1°C spread explaining the razor-thin market divide.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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