Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 12°C as the highest temperature at Istanbul Airport on April 16, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by verified NOAA observations from automated weather stations confirming this maximum amid a cold snap. Official data from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) corroborates regional highs around 14–16°C at urban stations like Eyüpsultan and Fatih, but the market's resolution source—NOAA's calibrated measurements at the airport—pegged the peak at 12°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with forecasts of temperatures 2–4°C below April norms (typically 16–17°C), influenced by persistent cool air masses over the eastern Mediterranean. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies if alternative stations (e.g., LTBA vs. LTFM) are scrutinized, though resolution criteria fix NOAA Istanbul Airport as authoritative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 16?
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,633 वॉल्यूम
$84,633 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$84,633 वॉल्यूम
$84,633 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
10°C or below
$3,736 वॉल्यूम
No
11°C
$8,074 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$16,395 वॉल्यूम
Yes
13°C
$7,157 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$4,607 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$18,849 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$17,015 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$6,498 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$849 वॉल्यूम
No
19°C
$813 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C or higher
$641 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 12°C as the highest temperature at Istanbul Airport on April 16, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by verified NOAA observations from automated weather stations confirming this maximum amid a cold snap. Official data from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) corroborates regional highs around 14–16°C at urban stations like Eyüpsultan and Fatih, but the market's resolution source—NOAA's calibrated measurements at the airport—pegged the peak at 12°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with forecasts of temperatures 2–4°C below April norms (typically 16–17°C), influenced by persistent cool air masses over the eastern Mediterranean. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies if alternative stations (e.g., LTBA vs. LTFM) are scrutinized, though resolution criteria fix NOAA Istanbul Airport as authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$84,633समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 12°C as the highest temperature at Istanbul Airport on April 16, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by verified NOAA observations from automated weather stations confirming this maximum amid a cold snap. Official data from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) corroborates regional highs around 14–16°C at urban stations like Eyüpsultan and Fatih, but the market's resolution source—NOAA's calibrated measurements at the airport—pegged the peak at 12°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with forecasts of temperatures 2–4°C below April norms (typically 16–17°C), influenced by persistent cool air masses over the eastern Mediterranean. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies if alternative stations (e.g., LTBA vs. LTFM) are scrutinized, though resolution criteria fix NOAA Istanbul Airport as authoritative.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$84,633समाप्ति तिथि
16 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 12°C as the highest temperature at Istanbul Airport on April 16, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by verified NOAA observations from automated weather stations confirming this maximum amid a cold snap. Official data from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) corroborates regional highs around 14–16°C at urban stations like Eyüpsultan and Fatih, but the market's resolution source—NOAA's calibrated measurements at the airport—pegged the peak at 12°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with forecasts of temperatures 2–4°C below April norms (typically 16–17°C), influenced by persistent cool air masses over the eastern Mediterranean. Realistic challenges are minimal post-event but could include rare data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies if alternative stations (e.g., LTBA vs. LTFM) are scrutinized, though resolution criteria fix NOAA Istanbul Airport as authoritative.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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