Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (33.5% implied probability) as Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 72-73°F (25.0%) and 68-69°F (22.5%), driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering above-normal warmth well beyond the April 16 climatological average of 59°F per National Weather Service normals. Recent heavy rainfall— a daily record 2.43 inches at O'Hare on April 14—lingers with a Flood Watch until early morning and chances of showers or thunderstorms, introducing uncertainty that differentiates outcomes: deeper boundary-layer mixing under partial clearing could push peaks to 72-73°F per some GFS runs, while increased cloud cover or convective activity caps them at 68-69°F as hinted in ECMWF divergence. Real-time O'Hare observations and afternoon forecast updates will sharpen resolution amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring a warmer-than-average spring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अप्रैल को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अप्रैल को शिकागो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 7%
$43,038 वॉल्यूम
$43,038 वॉल्यूम
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 24%
66-67°F 7%
$43,038 वॉल्यूम
$43,038 वॉल्यूम
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 70-71°F (33.5% implied probability) as Chicago O'Hare International Airport's highest temperature today, closely trailed by 72-73°F (25.0%) and 68-69°F (22.5%), driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest fostering above-normal warmth well beyond the April 16 climatological average of 59°F per National Weather Service normals. Recent heavy rainfall— a daily record 2.43 inches at O'Hare on April 14—lingers with a Flood Watch until early morning and chances of showers or thunderstorms, introducing uncertainty that differentiates outcomes: deeper boundary-layer mixing under partial clearing could push peaks to 72-73°F per some GFS runs, while increased cloud cover or convective activity caps them at 68-69°F as hinted in ECMWF divergence. Real-time O'Hare observations and afternoon forecast updates will sharpen resolution amid ENSO-neutral conditions favoring a warmer-than-average spring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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