Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Chengdu today, aligning with the China Meteorological Administration's 08:00 forecast of cloudy conditions capping daytime temperatures at 25°C with light winds. This positioning stems from persistent overcast skies over the past week, including yesterday's observed 24°C maximum at Shuangliu International Airport, amid typical April frontal patterns that suppress intense solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model ensembles from CMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show low confidence in exceeding 25°C due to mid-level cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation, potentially reaching 26°C or higher (8.5% implied probability), or a sudden cool front dropping below—though official guidance points to stability through evening resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अप्रैल को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अप्रैल को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 88%
26°C या उससे अधिक 12%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$59,688 वॉल्यूम
$59,688 वॉल्यूम
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
88%
26°C या उससे अधिक
12%
25°C 88%
26°C या उससे अधिक 12%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$59,688 वॉल्यूम
$59,688 वॉल्यूम
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
88%
26°C या उससे अधिक
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
विवाद विंडो
अंतिम
Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C high in Chengdu today, aligning with the China Meteorological Administration's 08:00 forecast of cloudy conditions capping daytime temperatures at 25°C with light winds. This positioning stems from persistent overcast skies over the past week, including yesterday's observed 24°C maximum at Shuangliu International Airport, amid typical April frontal patterns that suppress intense solar heating in the Sichuan Basin. Model ensembles from CMA and global forecasts like ECMWF show low confidence in exceeding 25°C due to mid-level cloud cover and weak southerly flow. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation, potentially reaching 26°C or higher (8.5% implied probability), or a sudden cool front dropping below—though official guidance points to stability through evening resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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