Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating seasonably warm conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over California. This setup promotes gusty offshore winds that erode the persistent marine layer—cool, moist stratus clouds typically capping coastal highs—and allows more solar insolation, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks near 68-70°F amid mostly sunny skies. Elevated Pacific sea surface temperatures in April 2026 have further diminished fog intrusion compared to climatological norms, where April highs average 64-66°F. Uncertainties remain in late-day stratus redevelopment; monitor NWS updates through evening for refinements ahead of hourly observations at official stations like KSFO.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अप्रैल को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
18 अप्रैल को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
68°F or higher 74%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 3.5%
62-63°F 1.8%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
18%
68°F or higher
74%
68°F or higher 74%
66-67°F 18%
64-65°F 3.5%
62-63°F 1.8%
नया
नया
18 अप्रैल, 2026
49°F or below
$1,127 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-51°F
$964 वॉल्यूम
<1%
52-53°F
$1,436 वॉल्यूम
<1%
54-55°F
$836 वॉल्यूम
<1%
56-57°F
$1,049 वॉल्यूम
1%
58-59°F
$779 वॉल्यूम
1%
60-61°F
$750 वॉल्यूम
1%
62-63°F
$941 वॉल्यूम
2%
64-65°F
$877 वॉल्यूम
4%
66-67°F
$430 वॉल्यूम
18%
68°F or higher
$800 वॉल्यूम
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating seasonably warm conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over California. This setup promotes gusty offshore winds that erode the persistent marine layer—cool, moist stratus clouds typically capping coastal highs—and allows more solar insolation, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks near 68-70°F amid mostly sunny skies. Elevated Pacific sea surface temperatures in April 2026 have further diminished fog intrusion compared to climatological norms, where April highs average 64-66°F. Uncertainties remain in late-day stratus redevelopment; monitor NWS updates through evening for refinements ahead of hourly observations at official stations like KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,979समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating seasonably warm conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over California. This setup promotes gusty offshore winds that erode the persistent marine layer—cool, moist stratus clouds typically capping coastal highs—and allows more solar insolation, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks near 68-70°F amid mostly sunny skies. Elevated Pacific sea surface temperatures in April 2026 have further diminished fog intrusion compared to climatological norms, where April highs average 64-66°F. Uncertainties remain in late-day stratus redevelopment; monitor NWS updates through evening for refinements ahead of hourly observations at official stations like KSFO.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$9,979समाप्ति तिथि
18 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in San Francisco on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating seasonably warm conditions under a building high-pressure ridge over California. This setup promotes gusty offshore winds that erode the persistent marine layer—cool, moist stratus clouds typically capping coastal highs—and allows more solar insolation, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on afternoon peaks near 68-70°F amid mostly sunny skies. Elevated Pacific sea surface temperatures in April 2026 have further diminished fog intrusion compared to climatological norms, where April highs average 64-66°F. Uncertainties remain in late-day stratus redevelopment; monitor NWS updates through evening for refinements ahead of hourly observations at official stations like KSFO.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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