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क्या ट्रम्प ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेंगे...?

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क्या ट्रम्प ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेंगे...?

मार्च 31

मार्च 31

$829,734 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल, 2026
Polymarket

$829,734 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

30 अप्रैल

$277,637 वॉल्यूम

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has waged airstrikes and a naval blockade against Iran since late February 2026 without a formal congressional war declaration, invoking Article II powers amid repeated Senate rejections of war powers resolutions limiting his authority. A two-week conditional ceasefire agreed on April 7 has held amid collapsed Islamabad talks, with Trump stating yesterday the conflict is "close to over" and hinting at resumed negotiations this week on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, potentially via Pakistani mediators. US forces remain positioned for escalation if Iran violates terms, while congressional Democrats push rein authorization votes; traders eye diplomatic breakthroughs or Iranian retaliation as key catalysts before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."

General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.

Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.

The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$829,734
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has waged airstrikes and a naval blockade against Iran since late February 2026 without a formal congressional war declaration, invoking Article II powers amid repeated Senate rejections of war powers resolutions limiting his authority. A two-week conditional ceasefire agreed on April 7 has held amid collapsed Islamabad talks, with Trump stating yesterday the conflict is "close to over" and hinting at resumed negotiations this week on sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access, potentially via Pakistani mediators. US forces remain positioned for escalation if Iran violates terms, while congressional Democrats push rein authorization votes; traders eye diplomatic breakthroughs or Iranian retaliation as key catalysts before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran."

General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war.

Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war.

The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$829,734
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump or an official representative of his administration (such as the White House Press Secretary, National Security Advisor, or Secretary of Defense) issues a formal public statement declaring that the United States is at war with Iran by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must clearly and explicitly use language equivalent to a declaration of war—for example, stating that "the United States is now at war with Iran" or "we are declaring war on Iran." General statements about military action, retaliation, force, or operations will not qualify unless they include an unambiguous declaration of war. Executive orders or official memoranda may qualify only if they contain clear language declaring war. The primary resolution source will be official government communications, including White House press releases, presidential speeches, or public statements by senior administration officials; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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