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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

Sep 18

Sep 18

Muse 55%

Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 21%

Polymarket
BARU

Muse 55%

Google Gemini 26%

ChatGPT 24%

Vinted 21%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Muse

Muse

$110 Vol.

55%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$50 Vol.

26%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$5 Vol.

21%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$50 Vol.

21%

icon for Google Maps

Google Maps

$130 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$345
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta's recent U.S. launch of its standalone AI agent app Muse has driven its rapid climb to the #2 free spot on the Apple App Store charts, with over 83,000 iOS downloads in days, positioning it as the market favorite at 56% implied probability for September 18. Traders weigh this momentum against Muse's comparatively modest debut pace versus prior Meta releases like Threads or Meta AI, alongside ChatGPT's entrenched #1 ranking and steady Gemini presence. Competitive dynamics hinge on sustained download velocity and retention for agentic features—such as background task execution in secure virtual machines—versus broader chatbot ecosystems, with potential volatility from app updates, user migration among AI tools, or seasonal engagement shifts in the narrow window before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$345
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Muse" di 56%, diikuti oleh "Google Gemini" di 26%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 56¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 11, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" adalah "Muse" di 56%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 56% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Google Gemini" di 26%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.