Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Teknologi·Aplikasi

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

Ended: Sep 18

Sep 25

Ended: Sep 18

Sep 25

Muse 100%

ChatGPT <1%

Vinted <1%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

Polymarket

$16,364 Vol.

Muse 100%

ChatGPT <1%

Vinted <1%

TikTok Pro - Events <1%

Polymarket

$16,364 Vol.

icon for Muse

Muse

$3,056 Vol.

Yes

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$11,502 Vol.

No

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$765 Vol.

No

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$361 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$250 Vol.

No

icon for Google Maps

Google Maps

$292 Vol.

No

icon for Polymarket

Polymarket

$138 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta’s newly launched personal AI agent app Muse has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it holds the top free spot on the US Apple App Store today. Released around September 8 with task-oriented capabilities beyond chatbots—such as handling research, bookings, purchases, and integrations with email, calendars, and services like Spotify—the app climbed rapidly from initial mid-chart positions to #1 within a week. This surge reflects strong early user adoption of agentic AI features, Meta’s distribution advantages, and a free tier that boosted downloads ahead of competitors like ChatGPT. Other apps remain at lower or uncertain odds given the confirmed ranking shift, with minimal time left for last-minute changes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$16,364
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Meta’s newly launched personal AI agent app Muse has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an 84.5% implied probability it holds the top free spot on the US Apple App Store today. Released around September 8 with task-oriented capabilities beyond chatbots—such as handling research, bookings, purchases, and integrations with email, calendars, and services like Spotify—the app climbed rapidly from initial mid-chart positions to #1 within a week. This surge reflects strong early user adoption of agentic AI features, Meta’s distribution advantages, and a free tier that boosted downloads ahead of competitors like ChatGPT. Other apps remain at lower or uncertain odds given the confirmed ranking shift, with minimal time left for last-minute changes before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$16,364
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Terkait

icon for Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

67%
icon for Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

73%
icon for Dogecoin Up or Down

Dogecoin Up or Down

51%
Up

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Muse" di 100%, diikuti oleh "ChatGPT" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" telah menghasilkan $16.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Sep 11, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" adalah "Muse" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "ChatGPT" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.