OpenAI's September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and GPT-6 Sol, priced at half the GPT-5.6 rates with a 1M-token context window, has reset expectations for the next Luna iteration (6.1+). The models extend GPT-6 Astra's alignment and efficiency gains to high-volume tasks, with Luna positioned as the low-cost option for developers. Intense competition from Anthropic's simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch and ongoing focus on inference optimizations suggest OpenAI may accelerate point releases, though regulatory scrutiny on advanced capabilities and internal cadence for major versions remain key variables. Traders should monitor official announcements, API changelogs, and developer conferences for signals on timelines or external partnerships that could influence resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNovember 30
60%
December 31
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$20 Vol.
November 30
60%
December 31
63%
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 23, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070be91...A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 6.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 6.1 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna or GPT-6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-7 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 6.1, such as GPT-6 Luna (released September 22, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, GPT-6 Sol, or GPT-6 Astra, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-6 Luna Ultrafast, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070be91...OpenAI's September 22 release of GPT-6 Luna and GPT-6 Sol, priced at half the GPT-5.6 rates with a 1M-token context window, has reset expectations for the next Luna iteration (6.1+). The models extend GPT-6 Astra's alignment and efficiency gains to high-volume tasks, with Luna positioned as the low-cost option for developers. Intense competition from Anthropic's simultaneous Claude Opus 5.5 launch and ongoing focus on inference optimizations suggest OpenAI may accelerate point releases, though regulatory scrutiny on advanced capabilities and internal cadence for major versions remain key variables. Traders should monitor official announcements, API changelogs, and developer conferences for signals on timelines or external partnerships that could influence resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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