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Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

icon for Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

October 18 49%

October 16 47%

October 13 28%

October 24 26%

Polymarket
BARU

October 18 49%

October 16 47%

October 13 28%

October 24 26%

Polymarket
BARU

On or prior to October 1

$42 Vol.

13%

October 2

$39 Vol.

1%

October 3

$42 Vol.

5%

October 4

$42 Vol.

5%

October 5

$39 Vol.

1%

October 6

$42 Vol.

10%

October 7

$42 Vol.

21%

October 8

$42 Vol.

12%

October 9

$39 Vol.

1%

October 10

$42 Vol.

11%

October 11

$42 Vol.

7%

October 12

$42 Vol.

14%

October 13

$42 Vol.

28%

October 14

$42 Vol.

12%

October 15

$42 Vol.

12%

October 16

$42 Vol.

47%

October 17

$42 Vol.

11%

October 18

$42 Vol.

49%

October 19

$42 Vol.

24%

October 20

$42 Vol.

25%

October 21

$45 Vol.

16%

October 22

$42 Vol.

12%

October 23

$42 Vol.

12%

October 24

$42 Vol.

26%

October 25

$42 Vol.

12%

October 26

$42 Vol.

9%

October 27

$42 Vol.

1%

October 28

$42 Vol.

5%

October 29

$42 Vol.

14%

October 30

$42 Vol.

9%

October 31

$42 Vol.

9%

No release by October 31

$47 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,343
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders see the next Gemini Pro release—widely viewed as the long-delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro—as most likely in early-to-mid October due to persistent refinement needs after its May 2026 I/O teaser and subsequent slips past June and July targets. Google has continued shipping incremental Flash variants, including 3.8 Flash in early September and 3.8 Live mid-month, while keeping the flagship Pro in partner testing to address shortfalls in coding and long-horizon agentic tasks. This pattern, combined with the start of Gemini 4 pretraining and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, creates tight clustering around October 7–12 outcomes because any final internal benchmark improvements or API changelog signals could shift the exact window. Key near-term catalysts include potential earnings commentary or developer updates that might clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria for general availability.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,343
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 32 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "October 13" di 28%, diikuti oleh "October 18" di 25%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 28¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 22, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?," jelajahi 32 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" adalah "October 13" di 28%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 28% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "October 18" di 25%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.