Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
1%
$26,556 Vol.
$26,556 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,297 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$10,259 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,556Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,556Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a solidly Republican area covering northeast Arkansas and parts of the Delta, where he secured 72.9% of the vote in 2024. Both major-party primaries in March 2026 were uncontested, leaving Crawford to face Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district's partisan composition and Crawford's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic performance would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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