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Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01

icon for Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01
Politik·Primer

Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01

Jay Feely 78%

Joseph Chaplik 10.4%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

Jason Duey <1%

Polymarket

$424,464 Vol.

Jay Feely 78%

Joseph Chaplik 10.4%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

Jason Duey <1%

Polymarket

$424,464 Vol.

Jay Feely

$8,407 Vol.

78%

Joseph Chaplik

$10,598 Vol.

10%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$5,229 Vol.

1%

Jason Duey

$3,248 Vol.

1%

Matt Gress

$48,959 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$11,493 Vol.

<1%

John Trobough

$3,937 Vol.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$10,716 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$8,069 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,612 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Gallego

$3,926 Vol.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$5,092 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$223,236 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind former NFL kicker Jay Feely in the July 21 Arizona 1st Congressional District primary, driving his 78% market share as the clear frontrunner. Feely benefits from superior fundraising, reaching $2 million, and higher name recognition in the suburban Phoenix district, while state Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 10.4% amid lower cash on hand and recent intraparty clashes over immigration highlighted in Axios reporting. The remaining field, including John Trobough and a long list of single-digit contenders, remains fragmented with negligible polling traction. No major late developments have altered the trader consensus ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$424,464
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement has consolidated Republican support behind former NFL kicker Jay Feely in the July 21 Arizona 1st Congressional District primary, driving his 78% market share as the clear frontrunner. Feely benefits from superior fundraising, reaching $2 million, and higher name recognition in the suburban Phoenix district, while state Representative Joseph Chaplik trails at 10.4% amid lower cash on hand and recent intraparty clashes over immigration highlighted in Axios reporting. The remaining field, including John Trobough and a long list of single-digit contenders, remains fragmented with negligible polling traction. No major late developments have altered the trader consensus ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$424,464
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jay Feely" di 78%, diikuti oleh "Joseph Chaplik" di 10%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 78¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" telah menghasilkan $424.5K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" adalah "Jay Feely" di 78%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 78% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Joseph Chaplik" di 10%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pemenang Utama Partai Republik AZ -01" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.