Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, reflecting his position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows the pair nearly tied in first-round intentions at 38% to 39%, within the margin of error, after earlier surveys indicated wider swings. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by national shifts including União's 2025 break from the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels due to limited viability in Bahia's polarized environment. Scheduled voting on October 4, with a potential runoff, keeps outcomes sensitive to alliance-building and approval trends in the coming months.
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Bahia Governor Election Winner
Jerônimo Rodrigues 56%
ACM Neto 45%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$98,549 Vol.
$98,549 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
56%
ACM Neto
45%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
João Roma
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 56%
ACM Neto 45%
Kleber Rosa <1%
José Carlos Aleluia <1%
$98,549 Vol.
$98,549 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$32,617 Vol.
56%
ACM Neto
$32,557 Vol.
45%
Kleber Rosa
$9,010 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$8,107 Vol.
<1%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, reflecting his position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows the pair nearly tied in first-round intentions at 38% to 39%, within the margin of error, after earlier surveys indicated wider swings. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by national shifts including União's 2025 break from the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels due to limited viability in Bahia's polarized environment. Scheduled voting on October 4, with a potential runoff, keeps outcomes sensitive to alliance-building and approval trends in the coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$98,549Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, reflecting his position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows the pair nearly tied in first-round intentions at 38% to 39%, within the margin of error, after earlier surveys indicated wider swings. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by national shifts including União's 2025 break from the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels due to limited viability in Bahia's polarized environment. Scheduled voting on October 4, with a potential runoff, keeps outcomes sensitive to alliance-building and approval trends in the coming months.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$98,549Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Jerônimo Rodrigues of the Workers' Party holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the October 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election, reflecting his position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against main challenger ACM Neto of União Brasil. Recent Genial/Quaest polling from late July shows the pair nearly tied in first-round intentions at 38% to 39%, within the margin of error, after earlier surveys indicated wider swings. The contest is a rematch of the 2022 runoff, now shaped by national shifts including União's 2025 break from the Lula administration and Neto's alignment with right-wing blocs. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels due to limited viability in Bahia's polarized environment. Scheduled voting on October 4, with a potential runoff, keeps outcomes sensitive to alliance-building and approval trends in the coming months.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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